Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.090562 0.104585 0.120062 0.138410 0.159574 0.183227 0.211678
2026-01-25 0.066804 0.085168 0.107501 0.136669 0.173788 0.219492 0.280123
2026-02-01 0.052730 0.072034 0.097157 0.132270 0.180133 0.243203 0.332814
2026-02-08 0.045374 0.065575 0.093361 0.134399 0.193569 0.275973 0.399808
2026-02-15 0.039461 0.059875 0.089328 0.134961 0.204030 0.304940 0.464138
2026-02-22 0.035155 0.055714 0.086669 0.136725 0.215853 0.336521 0.535355
2026-03-01 0.030638 0.050519 0.081641 0.133967 0.220027 0.356496 0.590473
2026-03-08 0.027051 0.046271 0.077461 0.131830 0.224590 0.377104 0.648393
2026-03-15 0.024682 0.043694 0.075606 0.133144 0.234745 0.407556 0.725741
2026-03-22 0.023466 0.042912 0.076606 0.139333 0.253754 0.454712 0.836999
2026-03-29 0.022035 0.041554 0.076410 0.143296 0.269120 0.496926 0.943915
2026-04-05 0.020618 0.040037 0.075726 0.146218 0.282777 0.537288 1.051649
2026-04-12 0.019055 0.038097 0.074109 0.147317 0.293347 0.573484 1.156554
2026-04-19 0.017305 0.035593 0.071153 0.145492 0.298053 0.599048 1.243726
2026-04-26 0.015453 0.032660 0.067021 0.140807 0.296425 0.611833 1.306220
2026-05-03 0.014524 0.031515 0.066334 0.143075 0.309260 0.655000 1.436738
2026-05-10 0.013528 0.030108 0.064944 0.143673 0.318576 0.691741 1.557515
2026-05-17 0.012741 0.029065 0.064197 0.145551 0.330813 0.735850 1.699327
2026-05-24 0.011635 0.027181 0.061426 0.142615 0.331974 0.755862 1.788832
2026-05-31 0.010692 0.025560 0.059066 0.140339 0.334356 0.778764 1.887502
2026-06-07 0.010099 0.024695 0.058323 0.141738 0.345448 0.822655 2.040908
2026-06-14 0.009898 0.024744 0.059700 0.148329 0.369653 0.899667 2.283591
2026-06-21 0.009549 0.024393 0.060089 0.152548 0.388507 0.965823 2.506759